Gye Greene's Thoughts

Gye Greene's Thoughts (w/ apologies to The Smithereens and their similarly-titled album!)

Tuesday, November 17, 2020

Pandemic prediction -- future of travel

 It is now November 2020:  the COVID-19 Pandemic has been going on since February or March of this year.

 

Here are my prediction regarding international travel:

-It will take many years to develop a workable vaccine.

-"Life in a pandemic" will become "the new normal": people will just accept the additional precautions (physical distancing; masks; hand-washing) as "what you do". 

-Recreational international travel can't get put on hold forever.  Therefore, travel will resume -- but it will incorporate various COVID-19-related precautions, such as:

-Physical distancing on airplanes -- which means that they'll only be able to fly at about one-half capacity (family groups, and parties traveling together, will not have to be seated apart).  This will double the price of air fares -- but people will be desperate enough to pay them.

-People will not be allowed to leave the airport during long layovers (e.g. to explore the town).

-Mandatory two-week quarantine periods, both before, and after, each leg of the journey.

-Specialized cruise ships will become more cost-effective than air travel:  the journey across the ocean will be part of the "two week quarantine" period.



--GG

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